軍援烏克蘭不停火,拜登只想普亭倒台
記者 宥傑/綜合報導
拜登終於說了大實話,看在上帝分上,不能讓普亭繼續掌權。全世界都看得出美國要藉俄烏戰事拖垮俄國,只是用人道與自由塗脂抹粉,但拜登親訪歐洲,宣示美國回來了,自我感覺太良好,不禁自掀底牌,終戰指導就是普亭倒台,根本不在意烏克蘭人何時脫離戰火。
雖然白宮澄清,拜登無意尋求俄國政權更迭,卻是欲蓋彌彰,他的演講將俄烏戰事與冷戰對抗蘇聯的「自由戰爭」相提並論,呼籲世界團結,準備「耗時數年到數十年」對抗獨裁。無所不能的白宮主人就這樣替全球誓師新冷戰,替歐洲決定與俄國誓不兩立,替烏克蘭人決定戰到最後一滴血,他說捍衛自由要付出代價,但令人好奇的是,美國除了增產天然氣與武器,又付出了什麼?
拜登訪歐三場峰會,鞏固北約,對抗俄國,劍指中國,至於戰事主角烏克蘭,只得到巷戰輕武器和輕如鴻毛的人道援助。拜登被記者問到是否認同烏國「放棄領土達成停火」,他說「完全取決烏國判斷」。澤倫斯基不僅無法換取北約門票,連大國調停及撤軍背書都不可得。拜登才離境,澤氏就開罵北約不提供坦克飛彈與戰機,他費心全球開講,高喊核武威脅,但拜登不為所動,只要烏國拖住俄羅斯。
美國只給烏克蘭一條通往戰場的路。拜登說,美軍在歐洲不是為與俄國衝突,是為捍衛北約盟國,嗆普亭「別想動北約一吋領土」,這話形同承認,發生在烏國境內的「俄國入侵」,就是一場針對「北約東擴」的戰爭。北約稱烏國不是同盟,不肯出兵,卻讓烏國人民作代理人,以血肉之軀為歐洲築起長城。
拜登提油救火,俄烏談判桌很難有戲,但他的能源安全承諾,並未團結歐洲。拜登批普亭利用能源控制鄰居,稱許歐盟不進口俄國天然氣雖有損失,但道德正確,並承諾提供替代的液態天然氣。豪氣大話立馬被紐約時報潑冷水,因為在美國及歐洲進出口兩端都沒有足夠設備能兌現支票。天然氣大國卡達也說,沒有一國能立即取代俄國輸歐的能源。
於是戰火正熾,歐洲繼續使用俄國天然氣,大部分經過烏國戰場,更諷刺的是,宣稱抗俄到底的立陶宛等國,仍向鄰國採買從俄國批發來的「獨裁天然氣」。拜登的華麗誓師,看似有冷戰時期的排場,但美國說多作少,歐盟一則以時間換取空間,比起東歐國家擔心俄國威脅,歐洲大國更擔心經濟失血。
無論俄國轉進烏東是否準備撤軍,普亭和澤倫斯基都在泥淖裡,美國不點頭,德法與中國強出頭調停也是枉然,不停火不撤軍,就談不上解除制裁與重建。拜登以烏克蘭為劍,刺入俄國,讓普亭失血不止,或許終將倒台,但烏克蘭能撐到那一天?
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